Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.451947 14.534633 16.807481 19.465350 22.481186 25.789722 29.686695
2025-07-20 9.435714 12.389565 15.942347 20.496312 26.141055 32.867945 41.446721
2025-07-27 7.501226 10.819664 15.128098 21.053587 28.900991 38.837043 52.252097
2025-08-03 6.070709 9.496630 14.244358 21.170176 30.854388 43.730241 61.919877
2025-08-10 4.886951 8.238817 13.168346 20.749030 31.868819 47.294501 69.949416
2025-08-17 3.966382 7.174886 12.162066 20.211577 32.541127 50.305040 77.303421
2025-08-24 3.233985 6.259981 11.217734 19.591132 32.940598 52.851531 84.066546
2025-08-31 2.604432 5.392961 10.204825 18.698013 32.768487 54.455642 89.461467
2025-09-07 2.307925 5.061477 10.025448 19.114762 34.656641 59.262208 99.927004
2025-09-14 2.046162 4.745231 9.820573 19.444839 36.400055 63.924779 110.422512
2025-09-21 1.741362 4.284895 9.284509 19.116388 36.977648 66.724782 118.106328
2025-09-28 1.444864 3.782402 8.592728 18.410972 36.810937 68.252826 123.778911
2025-10-05 1.354419 3.737516 8.834977 19.567342 40.204208 76.219590 140.982061
2025-10-12 1.247535 3.639683 8.967957 20.553191 43.426489 84.212796 158.911564
2025-10-19 1.116875 3.455380 8.889063 21.102908 45.878722 91.034257 175.282461
2025-10-26 0.973363 3.203555 8.619324 21.218171 47.492595 96.455299 189.533295
2025-11-02 0.818404 2.880365 8.130206 20.795925 47.989458 99.852437 200.375777
2025-11-09 0.682368 2.572675 7.622109 20.257369 48.180711 102.665371 210.297212
2025-11-16 0.564758 2.285252 7.110576 19.635693 48.122020 104.971185 219.387557
2025-11-23 0.455728 1.989677 6.520184 18.740802 47.376052 105.864475 225.850660
2025-11-30 0.411476 1.901496 6.473720 19.158378 49.530634 112.612689 243.806010
2025-12-07 0.369404 1.808436 6.397169 19.489108 51.514240 119.132049 261.656623
2025-12-14 0.313475 1.643546 6.080788 19.160007 51.954418 122.516545 273.544570